SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Varvara Esina v Sofie Hausknotzova (Fri 17 Jan 2020)

Match won by Varvara Esina. Result: 11-2,11-4,11-3.

Starting level for Varvara Esina: 2,722, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Starting level for Sofie Hausknotzova: 897, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Varvara Esina to win as she is currently playing 203% better than Sofie Hausknotzova.

Varvara Esina won all of the games and 79% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 267% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Varvara Esina played 267% better than Sofie Hausknotzova in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Varvara Esina actually played at a level of 2,992 and Sofie Hausknotzova at a level of 816. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 9.9% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 5.6% and 5.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Varvara Esina changes to +5.6% and Sofie Hausknotzova changes to -4.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Varvara Esina becomes +3% and for Sofie Hausknotzova becomes -4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Czech Junior Open 2020' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Varvara Esina: 84%, Sofie Hausknotzova: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Varvara Esina: 76%, Sofie Hausknotzova: 81%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Varvara Esina: 2,810, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Sofie Hausknotzova: 865, level confidence: 81%.