SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Alesya Aleshina v Signe Skelkj?R (Fri 01 Nov 2019)

Match won by Alesya Aleshina. Result: 11-7,11-5,11-5.

Starting level for Alesya Aleshina: 3,823, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Signe Skelkj?R: 1,516, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Alesya Aleshina to win as she is currently playing 152% better than Signe Skelkj?R.

Alesya Aleshina won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Alesya Aleshina played 94% better than Signe Skelkj?R in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Alesya Aleshina was taking it easy by anything up to 19%. This gives her an allowed level range for this match between 2,514 and 3,823 without affecting her level.

In this case, Alesya Aleshina played at level 3,020 and remained within her allowed range so her level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Alesya Aleshina would normally have been playing at level 3,100 (based on typical behaviour), Signe Skelkj?R played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 2.6%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 1.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Alesya Aleshina changes to 0% and Signe Skelkj?R changes to +1.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Alesya Aleshina becomes 0% and for Signe Skelkj?R becomes +1.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Belgian Junior Open 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alesya Aleshina: 86%, Signe Skelkj?R: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alesya Aleshina: 75%, Signe Skelkj?R: 77%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Alesya Aleshina: 3,833, level confidence: 75%.
Final level for Signe Skelkj?R: 1,540, level confidence: 77%.